Combat Edge Intelligence

Hecher Sosa vs Said Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hecher Sosa
es

Hecher Sosa

“Guanche Warrior”

15-1-0BantamweightUFC

1726Good

Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Animal Fight CenterTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hecher SosaNow 1726
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
Said NurmagomedovNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
0.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
55%
Strike defense
56%
4
Takedown avg.
0.86
36%
Takedown accuracy
15%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
2
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Hecher SosaSaid Nurmagomedov
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
2 (14%)
Submission
6 (33%)
6 (43%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Said Nurmagomedov62%
Hecher Sosa 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 62% favorite over Hecher Sosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1727), separated by just 1 points.

Hecher Sosa enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hecher Sosa finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.