Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Aldana vs Josh Quinlan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
40,5"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Torture AthleticsTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hector AldanaNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Josh QuinlanNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
60%
Strike defense
54%
0.93
Takedown avg.
0.34
100%
Takedown accuracy
11%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hector AldanaJosh Quinlan
15501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hector Aldana and Josh Quinlan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1546), separated by just 0 points.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Hector Aldana finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.