Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Aldana vs Laureano Staropoli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
40,5"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight176 lbs
Torture AthleticsTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Laureano Staropoli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Hector Aldana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hector AldanaNow 1546
If they win+30→ 1576
If they lose-18→ 1528
Laureano StaropoliNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-20→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
38%
Strike accuracy
34%
5.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
60%
Strike defense
54%
0.93
Takedown avg.
0.83
100%
Takedown accuracy
26%
0%
Takedown defense
48%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hector AldanaLaureano Staropoli
15501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (15%)
1 (20%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Laureano Staropoli66%
Hector Aldana 34%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Laureano Staropoli a 66% favorite over Hector Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Laureano Staropoli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1546, a 88-point edge.

Laureano Staropoli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hector Aldana finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Laureano Staropoli 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.