Hector Lombard vs Johny Hendricks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-1Record18-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71.00Reach69,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamTeam Takedown
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector LombardJohny Hendricks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johny Hendricks58%
Hector Lombard 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Johny Hendricks a 58% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1705), separated by just 1 points.
Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Johny Hendricks 50%.
Hector Lombard and Johny Hendricks share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Hector Lombard carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.