Hector Lombard vs Joshua Burkman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-1Record28-18-0
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71.00Reach39,0"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
UFD GymTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team
What's at stake
Hector Lombard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joshua Burkman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-14→ 1690
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector LombardJoshua Burkman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hector Lombard63%
Joshua Burkman 37%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Hector Lombard a 63% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Hector Lombard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1644, a 60-point edge.
Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.