Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Lombard vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-11-1Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
71.00Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
1.69
Takedown avg.
1.02
49%
Takedown accuracy
42%
77%
Takedown defense
53%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hector LombardMichał Oleksiejczuk
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

22 (65%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
4 (12%)
Submission
1 (5%)
8 (24%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk70%
Hector Lombard 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 70% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1705), separated by just 1 points.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Michał Oleksiejczuk carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.