Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Lombard vs Mukhamed Berkhamov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-11-1Record17-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71.00Reach73"
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
UFD GymTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Mukhamed BerkhamovNow 1702
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
49%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.47
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hector LombardMukhamed Berkhamov
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

22 (65%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
4 (12%)
Submission
9 (53%)
8 (24%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Mukhamed Berkhamov70%
Hector Lombard 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamed Berkhamov a 70% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Lombard's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1702), separated by just 2 points.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Mukhamed Berkhamov 71%.

Mukhamed Berkhamov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.