Hector Lombard vs Nate Marquardt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-11-1Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
71.00Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts
What's at stake
Hector Lombard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nate Marquardt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-14→ 1690
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-10→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector LombardNate Marquardt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hector Lombard67%
Nate Marquardt 33%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Hector Lombard a 67% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Hector Lombard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1651, a 53-point edge.
Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.
Hector Lombard and Nate Marquardt share 1 common opponent: C.B. Dollaway.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision · 2018
Win Punches · 2015