Hector Lombard vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-1Record31-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'3"
71.00Reach80"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Hector Lombard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1718
If they lose-10→ 1694
If they win+10→ 1768
If they lose-14→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector LombardNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny78%
Hector Lombard 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 78% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1704, a 54-point edge.
Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Neil Magny carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.