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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Lombard vs Nikolay Aleksakhin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

34-11-1Record26-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71.00Reach70"
185 lbsWeight172 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Nikolay AleksakhinNow 1702
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
1.69
Takedown avg.
Not available
49%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.47
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hector LombardNikolay Aleksakhin
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

22 (65%)
KO/TKO
14 (54%)
4 (12%)
Submission
2 (8%)
8 (24%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hector Lombard and Nikolay Aleksakhin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1702), separated by just 2 points.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Aleksakhin 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.