Hector Lombard vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-11-1Record19-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
UFD GymTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Hector Lombard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Rousimar Palhares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1711
If they lose-17→ 1687
If they win+17→ 1561
If they lose-7→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hector LombardRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hector Lombard75%
Rousimar Palhares 25%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Hector Lombard a 75% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Hector Lombard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1544, a 160-point edge.
Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.