Hector Lombard vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-11-1Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71.00Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Thales Leites is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Hector Lombard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-11→ 1693
If they win+11→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hector LombardThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thales Leites63%
Hector Lombard 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Thales Leites a 63% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Thales Leites holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1704, a 41-point edge.
Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Thales Leites carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.