Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Lombard vs Yushin Okami

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yushin Okami
jp

Yushin Okami

“Thunder”

37-15-0MiddleweightShooto

1667Good

Tale of the tape

34-11-1Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
71.00Reach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamEXFIGHT

What's at stake

Hector Lombard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yushin Okami carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691
Yushin OkamiNow 1667
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-11→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
46%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
53%
Strike defense
61%
1.69
Takedown avg.
1.98
49%
Takedown accuracy
39%
77%
Takedown defense
84%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Hector LombardYushin Okami
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

22 (65%)
KO/TKO
14 (39%)
4 (12%)
Submission
3 (8%)
8 (24%)
Decision
19 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Hector Lombard59%
Yushin Okami 41%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Hector Lombard a 59% favorite over Yushin Okami in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Hector Lombard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1667, a 37-point edge.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.