Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Sandoval vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'2"Height5'4"
36,0"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Hector Sandoval is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hector SandovalNow 1670
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+13→ 1665
If they lose-11→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
52%
Strike accuracy
30%
2.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
66%
Strike defense
56%
3.49
Takedown avg.
5.15
25%
Takedown accuracy
43%
71%
Takedown defense
47%
1.40
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Hector SandovalWilson Reis
16501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Submission
13 (46%)
9 (60%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Hector Sandoval70%
Wilson Reis 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Hector Sandoval a 70% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Hector Sandoval holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1652, a 18-point edge.

Hector Sandoval enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hector Sandoval finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.