Hector Sandoval vs Wilson Reis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'2"Height5'4"
36,0"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United
What's at stake
Hector Sandoval is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653
If they win+13→ 1666
If they lose-11→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hector SandovalWilson Reis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wilson Reis59%
Hector Sandoval 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Wilson Reis a 59% favorite over Hector Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Sandoval's way (48%).
Hector Sandoval holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1653, a 17-point edge.
Hector Sandoval enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hector Sandoval finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.