Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Santiago vs Josias Musasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josias Musasa
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Josias Musasa

“The K.O. Wizard”

8-2-0BantamweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
69"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hector SantiagoNow 1618
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
Josias MusasaNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.90
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
81%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Hector SantiagoJosias Musasa
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hector Santiago and Josias Musasa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Hector Santiago enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hector Santiago finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josias Musasa 88%.

Josias Musasa carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.