Hector Santiago vs Lawrence Lui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
68"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Hector Santiago is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Lawrence Lui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1667
If they lose-26→ 1619
If they win+17→ 1633
If they lose-15→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hector SantiagoLawrence Lui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hector Santiago58%
Lawrence Lui 42%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Hector Santiago a 58% favorite over Lawrence Lui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Hector Santiago holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1616, a 29-point edge.
Hector Santiago enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hector Santiago finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Lawrence Lui 50%.
Lawrence Lui carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.