Hector Santiago vs Lawrence Lui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'8"
69"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Lawrence Lui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Hector Santiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1644
If they lose-22→ 1596
If they win+22→ 1670
If they lose-26→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector SantiagoLawrence Lui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hector Santiago and Lawrence Lui within a point of even.
Lawrence Lui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1618, a 30-point edge.
Hector Santiago enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lawrence Lui enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Hector Santiago finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Lawrence Lui 50%.
Lawrence Lui carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.