Hector Santiago vs Vince Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1642
If they lose-24→ 1594
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hector SantiagoVince Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hector Santiago60%
Vince Morales 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hector Santiago a 60% favorite over Vince Morales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vince Morales's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Hector Santiago enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Hector Santiago finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.