Helton Jose vs Lorenzo Figueroa
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo Figueroa65%
Helton Jose 35%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo Figueroa a 65% favorite over Helton Jose in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Lorenzo Figueroa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1530 to 1471, a 59-point edge.
Lorenzo Figueroa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record3-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeightTBD
-Reach-
205 lbsWeight223 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Lorenzo Figueroa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Helton Jose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1499
If they lose-20→ 1451
If they win+20→ 1550
If they lose-28→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Helton JoseLorenzo Figueroa