Henrique da Silva vs Jesse Murray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-10-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
43,0"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Roxo StrikerTeamStrongstyle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Henrique da SilvaJesse Murray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesse Murray55%
Henrique da Silva 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Murray a 55% favorite over Henrique da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Henrique da Silva's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1556), separated by just 0 points.
Henrique da Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Henrique da Silva finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Murray 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.