Combat Edge Intelligence

Henrique da Silva vs Jonathan Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record9-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
43,0"Reach75,0"
205 lbsWeight217 lbs
Roxo StrikerTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Henrique da SilvaNow 1558
If they win+23→ 1581
If they lose-25→ 1533
Jonathan WilsonNow 1546
If they win+17→ 1563
If they lose-15→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.89
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
60%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.65
40%
Strike defense
56%
0.25
Takedown avg.
0.37
14%
Takedown accuracy
100%
22%
Takedown defense
80%
0.25
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Henrique da SilvaJonathan Wilson
15501600202120222023

Win method breakdown

17 (89%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (5%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Henrique da Silva52%
Jonathan Wilson 48%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Henrique da Silva a 52% favorite over Jonathan Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1546), separated by just 12 points.

Henrique da Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Henrique da Silva finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Wilson 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.