Henrique Madureira vs Nonato Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record20-14-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
154 lbsWeight161 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1559
If they lose-16→ 1527
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Henrique MadureiraNonato Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nonato Junior66%
Henrique Madureira 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 66% favorite over Henrique Madureira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1544), separated by just 1 points.
Henrique Madureira enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Henrique Madureira finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.