Henry Cejudo vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Henry Cejudo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jussier Formiga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1784
If they lose-18→ 1752
If they win+14→ 1740
If they lose-10→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1782 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Henry CejudoJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Henry Cejudo72%
Jussier Formiga 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Henry Cejudo a 72% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Henry Cejudo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1726, a 44-point edge.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Henry Cejudo and Jussier Formiga share 1 common opponent: Sergio Pettis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.