Henry Cejudo vs Merab Dvalishvili
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach 68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Henry Cejudo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1789
If they lose-13→ 1757
If they win+10→ 1853
If they lose-14→ 1829
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1782 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1789 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Henry CejudoMerab Dvalishvili
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Merab Dvalishvili82%
Henry Cejudo 18%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Merab Dvalishvili a 82% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1770, a 73-point edge.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Merab Dvalishvili 24%.
Henry Cejudo and Merab Dvalishvili share 1 common opponent: Marlon Moraes.
Merab Dvalishvili carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.