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Combat Edge Intelligence

Henry Cejudo vs Payton Talbott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record12-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'10"
64"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamReno Academy of Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
Payton TalbottNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1782 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
6.62
47%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
57%
Strike defense
47%
1.78
Takedown avg.
0.78
22%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
78%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Henry CejudoPayton Talbott
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
8 (50%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Payton Talbott74%
Henry Cejudo 26%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Payton Talbott a 74% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Henry Cejudo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1763), separated by just 7 points.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Payton Talbott enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Payton Talbott 75%.

Payton Talbott carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.