Combat Edge Intelligence

Henry Cejudo vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamLaerte Barcelos Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
Raoni BarcelosNow 1780
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1781 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
4.92
47%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.78
Takedown avg.
2.22
22%
Takedown accuracy
31%
72%
Takedown defense
88%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Henry CejudoRaoni Barcelos
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (14%)
8 (50%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raoni Barcelos66%
Henry Cejudo 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 66% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1780), separated by just 10 points.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Henry Cejudo and Raoni Barcelos share 1 common opponent: Payton Talbott.

Raoni Barcelos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Payton Talbott
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025