AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Henry Cejudo vs Raul Rosas Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record13-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'9"
64"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
Raul Rosas Jr.Now 1764
If they win+16→ 1780
If they lose-16→ 1748

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1782 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
1.34
47%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.24
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.78
Takedown avg.
6.10
22%
Takedown accuracy
3%
72%
Takedown defense
25%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Henry CejudoRaul Rosas Jr.
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (46%)
8 (50%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Raul Rosas Jr.58%
Henry Cejudo 42%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Raul Rosas Jr. a 58% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Henry Cejudo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1764), separated by just 6 points.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raul Rosas Jr. 69%.

Raul Rosas Jr. carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.