Henry Cejudo vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1782 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Henry CejudoTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Henry Cejudo56%
TJ Dillashaw 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Henry Cejudo a 56% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1763), separated by just 7 points.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Henry Cejudo and TJ Dillashaw share 2 common opponents: Aljamain Sterling and Dominick Cruz.
TJ Dillashaw carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.