Combat Edge Intelligence

Henry Cejudo vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record28-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'4"
64"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Henry Cejudo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+11→ 1781
If they lose-21→ 1749
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-8→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1782 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
47%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.78
Takedown avg.
5.15
22%
Takedown accuracy
43%
72%
Takedown defense
47%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Henry CejudoWilson Reis
1650170017501800202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (46%)
8 (50%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Henry Cejudo73%
Wilson Reis 27%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Henry Cejudo a 73% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Henry Cejudo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1652, a 118-point edge.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.