
Henry Cejudo vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Henry Cejudo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yadong Song carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Yadong Song a 60% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Henry Cejudo's way (47%).
Henry Cejudo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1751, a 19-point edge.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Henry Cejudo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 57%.
Henry Cejudo and Yadong Song share 1 common opponent: Marlon Moraes.
Yadong Song carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.