Combat Edge Intelligence

Henry Martinez vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record0-0-0
LightweightDivisionTBD
5'7"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeightTBD
Team IrishTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Henry MartinezNow 1570
If they win+17→ 1587
If they lose-15→ 1555
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+23→ 1606
If they lose-25→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
25%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
60%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
3.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
80%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Henry MartinezMatthew Riddle
155016001650201120122013

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle60%
Henry Martinez 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 60% favorite over Henry Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1583), separated by just 13 points.

Henry Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Henry Martinez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.