Combat Edge Intelligence

Herbeth Sousa vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-2-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonfim BrothersTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

Herbeth Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Paulo Portillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Herbeth SousaNow 1683
If they win+14→ 1697
If they lose-18→ 1665
Paulo PortilloNow 1641
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Herbeth SousaPaulo Portillo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
14 (70%)
Submission
11 (65%)
4 (20%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Herbeth Sousa73%
Paulo Portillo 27%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Herbeth Sousa a 73% favorite over Paulo Portillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Herbeth Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1641, a 42-point edge.

Herbeth Sousa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Herbeth Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.