Combat Edge Intelligence

Herbeth Sousa vs Paulo Portillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

20-2-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAZ Team

What's at stake

Herbeth Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Paulo Portillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Herbeth SousaNow 1680
If they win+14→ 1694
If they lose-18→ 1662
Paulo PortilloNow 1640
If they win+18→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Herbeth SousaPaulo Portillo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
14 (70%)
Submission
11 (65%)
4 (20%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Herbeth Sousa53%
Paulo Portillo 47%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Herbeth Sousa a 53% favorite over Paulo Portillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Herbeth Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1640, a 40-point edge.

Herbeth Sousa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Herbeth Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Portillo 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.