Combat Edge Intelligence

Herman Terrado vs Ryan Jensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-1Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
179 lbsWeight175 lbs
Undisputed DowntownTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herman TerradoNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Ryan JensenNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.20

Trajectory

Herman TerradoRyan Jensen
1550160020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
9 (43%)
6 (40%)
Submission
12 (57%)
1 (7%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Herman Terrado56%
Ryan Jensen 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Herman Terrado a 56% favorite over Ryan Jensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.

Herman Terrado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Herman Terrado finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Jensen 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.