Hermes Franca vs Joe Jordan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-20-0Record48-14-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory MMATeamMiletich Fighting Systems
What's at stake
Hermes Franca is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Joe Jordan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1558
If they lose-16→ 1534
If they win+21→ 1454
If they lose-11→ 1422
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hermes FrancaJoe Jordan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Jordan57%
Hermes Franca 43%Elo baseline: 34%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Jordan a 57% favorite over Hermes Franca in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hermes Franca's way (34%).
Hermes Franca holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1550 to 1433, a 117-point edge.
Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hermes Franca finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Joe Jordan 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.