Hermes Franca vs Tyson Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-20-0Record17-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Tyson Griffin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Hermes Franca carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1565
If they lose-11→ 1541
If they win+15→ 1595
If they lose-17→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hermes FrancaTyson Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyson Griffin67%
Hermes Franca 33%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Griffin a 67% favorite over Hermes Franca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Tyson Griffin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1552, a 28-point edge.
Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hermes Franca finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Griffin 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.