Combat Edge Intelligence

Herschel Walker vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach78″
220 lbsWeight247 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Herschel WalkerNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Herschel WalkerRaphael Pessoa
15501600201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Herschel Walker62%
Raphael Pessoa 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Herschel Walker a 62% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raphael Pessoa's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1566), separated by just 5 points.

Herschel Walker enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.