Hidetaka Arato vs Justin Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record7-5-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
279 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hidetaka AratoJustin Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hidetaka Arato64%
Justin Tafa 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Hidetaka Arato a 64% favorite over Justin Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1608), separated by just 4 points.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hidetaka Arato finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Justin Tafa 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.