Hidetaka Arato vs Ken Hasegawa
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Hidetaka Arato53%
Ken Hasegawa 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Hidetaka Arato a 53% favorite over Ken Hasegawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Hidetaka Arato holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1580, a 36-point edge.
Hidetaka Arato finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ken Hasegawa 61%.
Hidetaka Arato and Ken Hasegawa share 1 common opponent: Ryo Sakai.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record18-7-1
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-Reach71.5"
279 lbsWeight243 lbs
What's at stake
Hidetaka Arato is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ken Hasegawa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1630
If they lose-18→ 1598
If they win+18→ 1598
If they lose-14→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hidetaka AratoKen Hasegawa