Hidetaka Arato vs Lucas Armand
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record6-1-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach78"
279 lbsWeight265 lbs
Pancrase InagakigumiTeamMurcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hidetaka AratoLucas Armand
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hidetaka Arato54%
Lucas Armand 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hidetaka Arato a 54% favorite over Lucas Armand in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.
Hidetaka Arato finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Armand 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.