Hiroko Yamanaka vs Sara Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Master JapanTeamResilience Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hiroko YamanakaSara Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sara Collins70%
Hiroko Yamanaka 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Sara Collins a 70% favorite over Hiroko Yamanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hiroko Yamanaka's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1629), separated by just 5 points.
Hiroko Yamanaka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hiroko Yamanaka finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.