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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hiroko Yamanaka vs Sara Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Master JapanTeamResilience Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hiroko YamanakaNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Sara CollinsNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hiroko YamanakaSara Collins
160016501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (50%)
8 (67%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Sara Collins67%
Hiroko Yamanaka 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sara Collins a 67% favorite over Hiroko Yamanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hiroko Yamanaka's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1629), separated by just 5 points.

Hiroko Yamanaka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hiroko Yamanaka finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.