Hiroya Kondo vs Jose Maria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-16-1Record41-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1488
If they lose-12→ 1464
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hiroya KondoJose Maria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hiroya Kondo67%
Jose Maria 33%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Hiroya Kondo a 67% favorite over Jose Maria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1463), separated by just 13 points.
Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jose Maria enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hiroya Kondo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jose Maria 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.