Combat Edge Intelligence

Hiroya Kondo vs Josh Epps

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-16-1Record6-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight123 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFinney's HIT Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hiroya KondoNow 1476
If they win+12→ 1488
If they lose-12→ 1464
Josh EppsNow 1482
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hiroya KondoJosh Epps
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (100%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hiroya Kondo56%
Josh Epps 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Hiroya Kondo a 56% favorite over Josh Epps in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Epps's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1482), separated by just 6 points.

Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hiroya Kondo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Josh Epps 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.