Hiroya Kondo vs Josua Hernández
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-16-1Record2-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
-Reach65"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1643 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamInvictus No Love Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1489
If they lose-12→ 1465
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hiroya KondoJosua Hernández
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hiroya Kondo55%
Josua Hernández 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hiroya Kondo a 55% favorite over Josua Hernández in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josua Hernández's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1478), separated by just 1 points.
Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hiroya Kondo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.