Combat Edge Intelligence

Hiroya Kondo vs Roldan Sangcha-an

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-16-1Record4-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLakay MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hiroya KondoNow 1476
If they win+12→ 1488
If they lose-12→ 1464
Roldan Sangcha-anNow 1462
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hiroya KondoRoldan Sangcha-an
14501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (50%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hiroya Kondo64%
Roldan Sangcha-an 36%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Hiroya Kondo a 64% favorite over Roldan Sangcha-an in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1462), separated by just 14 points.

Hiroya Kondo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roldan Sangcha-an enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hiroya Kondo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Roldan Sangcha-an 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.