Hiroyuki Abe vs Zak Flessas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-15-3Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
AACCTeamWanderley Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1507
If they lose-12→ 1483
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1490 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hiroyuki AbeZak Flessas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zak Flessas70%
Hiroyuki Abe 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Zak Flessas a 70% favorite over Hiroyuki Abe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1500), separated by just 5 points.
Hiroyuki Abe finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Zak Flessas 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.