Hiroyuki Takaya vs Melsik Baghdasaryan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-15-2Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-Reach70"
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Takaya GundanTeamGlendale Fighting Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hiroyuki TakayaMelsik Baghdasaryan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melsik Baghdasaryan64%
Hiroyuki Takaya 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Melsik Baghdasaryan a 64% favorite over Hiroyuki Takaya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.
Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hiroyuki Takaya finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Melsik Baghdasaryan 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.