Hiroyuki Takaya vs Isaac Thomson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-15-2Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
143 lbsWeight145 lbs
Takaya GundanTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hiroyuki TakayaIsaac Thomson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Isaac Thomson70%
Hiroyuki Takaya 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Thomson a 70% favorite over Hiroyuki Takaya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hiroyuki Takaya's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Hiroyuki Takaya finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Thomson 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.