Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Joaquin Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record3-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach-
186 lbsWeight175 lbs
Fightclub FreiburgTeamTeam Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Joaquin GarciaNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandJoaquin Garcia
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (100%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hojat Khajevand and Joaquin Garcia within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joaquin Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Garcia 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.