Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Keith Berish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Keith Berish
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Keith Berish

“Sha Bang Bang”

5-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach73,5"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fightclub FreiburgTeamBlack & Blue MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Keith BerishNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandKeith Berish
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand53%
Keith Berish 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 53% favorite over Keith Berish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keith Berish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Keith Berish 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.