Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Nick Pica

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Pica
us

Nick Pica

“The Silverback”

5-1-0MiddleweightBFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fightclub FreiburgTeamTeam Black

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Nick PicaNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandNick Pica
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand59%
Nick Pica 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 59% favorite over Nick Pica in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pica 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.