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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Nick Pica

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Pica
us

Nick Pica

“The Silverback”

5-1-0MiddleweightBFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Nick PicaNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandNick Pica
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand60%
Nick Pica 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 60% favorite over Nick Pica in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Pica's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pica 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.