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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Wilson Gouveia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight219 lbs
Fightclub FreiburgTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Wilson GouveiaNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.06
Not available
Strike defense
57%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.90
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
58%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.25

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandWilson Gouveia
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hojat Khajevand and Wilson Gouveia within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1586), separated by just 1 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Wilson Gouveia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Gouveia 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.